Tag: evidence
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When the Measure Is Uncertain, the System Still Has to Decide
New Zealand’s PIAAC results show a substantial adult-skills deterioration, but survey-quality concerns make the exact magnitude uncertain. SIGNAL 008 asks how capability systems should act when the signal matters before certainty arrives.
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When Output Is No Longer Evidence
How AI is changing what counts as evidence of human capability Signal Intelligence Briefing 007 Edge line: When competent output becomes easy to produce, institutions have to decide what still proves capability. For a long time, many systems relied on a simple inference. A person produced an artefact. The artefact looked competent. The institution inferred…