The latest Signal Intelligence briefing
Signal Intelligence Briefing 008
When the Measure Is Uncertain, the System Still Has to Decide
New Zealand’s PIAAC results measured a substantial deterioration in adult literacy and numeracy, but the exact magnitude remains uncertain. The more consequential question is what a system should do when the evidence is strong enough to matter but not precise enough to read literally.
Uncertainty should calibrate the response. It should not erase the signal.